Since the Spring Festival, the market weakness of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizer, except for an unique, boiling, and the market continued for nearly 2 months, the end of the spring fertilizer, the end of the good market of ammonium chloride. Although some manufacturers have some pre order can be executed, but cannot save the overall market demand, such as the spring begins, manufacturers of the pending orders of about 100 thousand tons, and still need to control orders, and orders to be executed a few manufacturers only 1-5 million tons, but positive orders, prices began to loosen. When the market is stronger than the difficulty of the ammonium chloride, unite all the strength of unity, such as the convening of the meeting of the industry, etc., to enhance the confidence of the manufacturers will become inevitable.
May 13th National ammonium chloride industry conference held in Wuhan, Hubei, will be on the current situation of ammonium chloride Market and the latter part of the trend to make a report and guidance. So the question is, can a meeting really be able to "rescue" after the transfer of weak ammonium chloride market it?
Whether the manufacturer or downstream fertilizer, traders said the author of the new single ammonium chloride thinly traded, prices decline, profits for traders in the compression space, for manufacturers to have some pre orders support, really is that prices will not fall significantly. The end of the spring fertilizer, is basically the end of a shipment of ammonium chloride, first look at the northeast of the fertilizer market light, operating rate decreased obviously, granular ammonium chloride extrusion factory orders is very light, the operating rate basically reduced to half, manufacturers received orders in the production of ammonium chloride pre support, only scattered received the order, the dry ammonium mainstream factory price stable at 600 yuan / ton, but the transaction negotiable space increase; ammonium chloride prices in Central China has been down, such as the Henan area, dry wet ammonium ammonium mainstream storage reference price of 550 yuan / ton, 600 yuan / ton or even on the left and right turnover in Hubei area, wet ammonium the mainstream factory price down 20 yuan / ton to 480 yuan / ton, dry ammonium mainstream factory price though steady at 570-580 yuan / ton, but slightly larger orders can lower 10-20 yuan / ton; look at the price already dropped southwest ammonium chloride, Wet and dry ammonium ammonium mainstream factory price 420 yuan / ton, 500-530 yuan / ton, the average turnover of single and is more stable region of the East China market, wet and dry ammonium ammonium mainstream factory price 500-520 yuan / ton, 570-580 yuan / ton, the transaction can be proposed, but the manufacturers said orders light. Although the current price is still at a high level, but do not fall already, a fall will get out of hand this may be common, downstream are clear, fueling the downstream wait-and-see mood, the price is still down the possibility of.
There is the possibility of lower, there are factors that make it down the whole industry on the one hand, the downstream compound fertilizer enterprises operating rate decreased to about 58%, and the local market because of environmental pressure, crop seasonal factors such as fertilizer utilization rates only 3 or so, in addition to being short of Summer Maize high nitrogen fertilizer fertilizer market so, the manufacturers of raw materials procurement amount of compound fertilizer ammonium chloride will be slowed down and reduced; on the other hand, urea prices and poor performance, the price dropped significantly, and the short-term risks still steadily continue to decline, the ammonium chloride, low price advantage will be affected; finally the soda system local area will be expanded the production or production, when ammonium chloride supply will increase, overcapacity is the norm, is bound to the bad price.
But fortunately, among a variety of negative factors still have good support, the first part of the business in order to support early; secondly the soda market weakness, prices fall, some manufacturers may in desperation to reduce production load, alleviate the short-term weakness in the stock market; after the last meeting of the soda, manufacturers should be more intense psychological very price. So the above factors, ammonium chloride Market after boiling has returned to calm, is expected in the short term the price stability or slow down the possibility of Ming Anxiang large.